Cowboys @ Colts

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Cowboys 27 - Colts 23
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Dallas
Cowboys
3-5 Rating 1441
Form: WLLWL
27 – 23
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Indianapolis Colts +2.0
Indianapolis
Colts
2-6 Rating 1388
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cowboys Colts
All-time wins 10 5
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 26.3 15.9
Last meeting 54 19

Key Season Stats

Stat Cowboys Colts
Games played 8 8
Avg points scored 27.4 20.1
Avg points conceded 26.6 27.8
Win percentage 38% 25%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 33%