| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 24–26 | Steelers +2 | Steelers +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 20–37 | Rams +17 | Rams +15.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 8–35 | Bills +27 | Bills +16.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 19–16 | Lions +3 | Bears +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3–19 | Broncos +16 | Broncos +5.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 12–14 | Raiders +2 | Chiefs +7.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 10–38 | Patriots +28 | Patriots +7.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 24–17 | Commanders +7 | Eagles +13.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 17–19 | Falcons +2 | Falcons +3.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 20–18 | Browns +2 | Bengals +8.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 17–34 | Giants +17 | Cowboys +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3–16 | Vikings +13 | Vikings +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 30–38 | Texans +8 | Texans +10.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 7–41 | Jaguars +34 | Jaguars +15.3 | Regular Season |