Lightning @ Sabres

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 0 - Sabres 0
Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-5 Rating 1554
Form: WLWWW
@
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Buffalo Sabres +0.2
Buffalo
Sabres
8-8 Rating 1535
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Sabres
All-time wins 54 65
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.9 3.1
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Sabres
Games played 16 16
Avg goals scored 3.8 3.1
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.3
Win percentage 69% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 50%