Penguins @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Penguins 0 - Lightning 0
Saturday, December 12, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET
Pittsburgh
Penguins
6-11 Rating 1474
Form: LLLLW
@
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.2
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-5 Rating 1554
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Lightning
All-time wins 65 57
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.2 3.0
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Lightning
Games played 17 16
Avg goals scored 3.3 3.8
Avg goals conceded 3.5 3.1
Win percentage 35% 69%
Away win % / Home win % 22% 100%