Senators @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Senators 0 - Lightning 0
Saturday, January 16, 2027 at 3:30 PM ET
Ottawa
Senators
10-7 Rating 1520
Form: LLWLW
@
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7
Tampa Bay
Lightning
10-5 Rating 1549
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Senators Lightning
All-time wins 72 54
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.5 2.9
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Senators Lightning
Games played 17 15
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.7
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.1
Win percentage 59% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%