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Cardiff vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 40% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Cardiff
3-6-5Rating 1617
Form: DLWDW
vs
Model Probability
32%
Draw 28%
40%
Championship
Middlesbrough
8-4-2Rating 1704
Form: LWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 9.7%21.9%58.5%<1%
If Win 12.0%26.9%60.2%<1%
If Draw 9.0%20.1%59.9%<1%
If Lose 5.8%14.3%60.4%<1%

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.6%15.6%
If Win <1%<1%8.6%10.8%
If Draw <1%<1%4.7%15.6%
If Lose <1%<1%3.5%19.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CardiffStatMiddlesbrough
14Games played14
1.6Avg goals scored2.1
1.6Avg goals conceded1.4
21% / 43% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss57% / 29% / 14%
43% Home win % / Away win % 43%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CardiffStatMiddlesbrough
9All-time wins (26 meetings, 4 draws)13
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-10-17): Middlesbrough 2–2 Cardiff