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Leeds vs Nottingham Prediction & Win Probability

Leeds has a 48% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Leeds
3-5-2Rating 1891
Form: WLDDL
vs
Model Probability
48%
Draw 27%
26%
Premier League
Nottingham
2-3-5Rating 1867
Form: WLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.2%2.6%17.8%
If Win <1%4.2%3.0%11.9%
If Draw <1%2.2%2.1%17.1%
If Lose <1%2.1%2.5%19.3%

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%13.6%7.5%3.2%
If Win <1%16.8%8.4%2.4%
If Draw <1%11.5%7.3%4.0%
If Lose <1%8.0%6.7%5.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeedsStatNottingham
10Games played10
1.0Avg goals scored0.9
0.8Avg goals conceded1.3
30% / 50% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 30% / 50%
40% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeedsStatNottingham
8All-time wins (25 meetings, 7 draws)10
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-08-22): Nottingham 0–1 Leeds