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Premier League
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Leeds vs Nottingham Prediction & Win Probability

Leeds has a 48% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1873
Form: LWDDL
Model Probability
48%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.1%3.3%15.4%
If Win <1%10.4%4.0%10.5%
If Draw <1%6.6%3.0%15.2%
If Lose <1%5.2%3.4%18.8%

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.0%9.3%3.4%
If Win <1%26.3%8.5%2.7%
If Draw <1%19.4%8.7%4.3%
If Lose <1%16.5%7.3%5.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeedsStatNottingham
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored0.8
0.6Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
33% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeedsStatNottingham
8All-time wins (25 meetings, 7 draws)10
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-08-22): Nottingham 0–1 Leeds