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Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Newcastle has a 44% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Mar 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL
vs
Model Probability
44%
Draw 27%
29%
Premier League
Leeds
3-5-2Rating 1891
Form: WLDDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%14.6%7.1%4.3%
If Win <1%18.5%9.4%1.8%
If Draw <1%12.6%8.6%3.7%
If Lose <1%10.2%6.7%5.0%

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.2%5.5%7.3%
If Win <1%9.2%5.6%4.7%
If Draw <1%5.8%3.7%7.7%
If Lose <1%4.2%3.5%10.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatLeeds
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored1.0
1.6Avg goals conceded0.8
30% / 30% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 50% / 20%
20% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatLeeds
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 5 draws)3
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-09-14): Leeds 4–1 Newcastle