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Premier League
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Leeds vs Brighton Prediction & Win Probability

Leeds has a 36% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
Model Probability
36%
36%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.0%57.1%8.9%<1%
If Win 4.9%64.2%8.4%<1%
If Draw 3.3%54.4%9.5%<1%
If Lose 2.4%50.2%9.7%1.0%

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.7%7.9%3.6%
If Win <1%28.9%9.0%2.6%
If Draw <1%20.1%8.0%3.7%
If Lose <1%16.9%8.0%5.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeedsStatBrighton
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored3.2
0.6Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
33% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeedsStatBrighton
3All-time wins (22 meetings, 7 draws)12
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.8Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-09-05): Brighton 1–1 Leeds