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Premier League
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Bournemouth vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Bournemouth has a 41% chance to win.

0-3-2 · Rating 1890
Form: LDDDL
VS
2-2-1 · Rating 1916
Form: WLDWD
Model Probability
41%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.9%7.8%3.7%
If Win <1%30.2%9.7%2.0%
If Draw <1%23.0%8.0%3.2%
If Lose <1%18.7%7.2%4.9%

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.9%5.6%13.2%
If Win <1%10.5%5.6%10.4%
If Draw <1%7.7%3.8%14.4%
If Lose <1%4.8%3.6%17.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BournemouthStatNewcastle
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored1.8
1.6Avg goals conceded1.8
0% / 60% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BournemouthStatNewcastle
5All-time wins (17 meetings, 8 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.5Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-09-05): Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth