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Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 55% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Liverpool
5-3-2Rating 1964
Form: WLWWL
vs
Model Probability
55%
Draw 24%
21%
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.1%4.5%7.5%
If Win <1%10.5%6.3%4.2%
If Draw <1%6.7%5.0%6.8%
If Lose <1%4.6%4.5%9.2%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.0%62.0%11.4%<1%
If Win 2.2%68.5%10.1%<1%
If Draw 1.3%60.8%10.4%<1%
If Lose <1%57.3%10.6%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatNewcastle
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.3
1.0Avg goals conceded1.6
50% / 30% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 30% / 40%
20% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatNewcastle
19All-time wins (30 meetings, 7 draws)4
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.1Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-08-23): Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool