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Premier League
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 51% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1963
Form: WDWDD
VS
2-2-1 · Rating 1916
Form: WLDWD
Model Probability
51%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%23.9%7.5%4.4%
If Win <1%31.0%10.4%1.6%
If Draw <1%24.0%8.0%3.7%
If Lose <1%19.9%7.8%4.1%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.2%53.1%9.8%<1%
If Win 3.4%58.3%9.6%<1%
If Draw 2.3%47.6%10.9%<1%
If Lose 2.2%44.3%10.4%1.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatNewcastle
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.8
0.8Avg goals conceded1.8
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatNewcastle
19All-time wins (30 meetings, 7 draws)4
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.1Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-08-23): Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool