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Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Brighton vs Nottingham Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 56% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1873
Form: LWDDL
Model Probability
56%
20%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.2%3.6%15.7%
If Win <1%9.3%4.9%9.8%
If Draw <1%6.9%4.0%14.4%
If Lose <1%5.6%3.5%17.0%

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.9%56.3%9.1%<1%
If Win 4.5%60.9%9.5%<1%
If Draw 2.9%53.0%9.5%<1%
If Lose 2.3%48.5%9.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatNottingham
5Games played5
3.2Avg goals scored0.8
1.0Avg goals conceded1.0
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrightonStatNottingham
9All-time wins (20 meetings, 6 draws)5
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-03-01): Brighton 2–1 Nottingham