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Brighton vs Nottingham Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 61% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Brighton
7-1-2Rating 1983
Form: WWLWW
vs
Model Probability
61%
Draw 22%
17%
Premier League
Nottingham
2-3-5Rating 1867
Form: WLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%2.6%2.0%17.0%
If Win <1%4.3%3.6%10.5%
If Draw <1%2.5%2.1%16.0%
If Lose <1%2.7%2.1%18.8%

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 7.5%84.6%5.7%<1%
If Win 9.4%87.3%5.4%<1%
If Draw 6.0%82.9%6.8%<1%
If Lose 5.6%79.3%7.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatNottingham
10Games played10
2.6Avg goals scored0.9
0.7Avg goals conceded1.3
70% / 10% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 30% / 50%
80% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrightonStatNottingham
9All-time wins (20 meetings, 6 draws)5
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-03-01): Brighton 2–1 Nottingham