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Premier League
Sat, May 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Aston Villa has a 48% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1944
Form: WLDLL
VS
2-2-1 · Rating 1916
Form: WLDWD
Model Probability
48%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%24.3%7.6%3.8%
If Win <1%29.0%9.1%2.1%
If Draw <1%23.0%8.7%3.8%
If Lose <1%20.9%7.5%4.6%

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%24.3%8.5%4.4%
If Win <1%28.6%9.6%2.3%
If Draw <1%23.1%8.0%3.8%
If Lose <1%19.9%6.6%4.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatNewcastle
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored1.8
1.8Avg goals conceded1.8
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Aston VillaStatNewcastle
7All-time wins (28 meetings, 9 draws)12
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.0Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-25): Newcastle 0–2 Aston Villa