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Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Aston Villa has a 52% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Aston Villa
3-4-3Rating 1943
Form: DDWWD
vs
Model Probability
52%
Draw 25%
23%
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.4%5.3%7.4%
If Win <1%10.8%6.9%4.3%
If Draw <1%5.8%5.7%7.8%
If Lose <1%4.8%4.7%8.8%

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%28.2%11.2%1.3%
If Win <1%31.1%11.6%<1%
If Draw <1%24.7%12.3%1.2%
If Lose <1%20.5%10.4%1.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatNewcastle
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.3
1.7Avg goals conceded1.6
30% / 40% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 30% / 40%
20% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Aston VillaStatNewcastle
8All-time wins (29 meetings, 9 draws)12
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-10-17): Newcastle 0–1 Aston Villa