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Marseille vs Brest Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 51% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
51%
Draw 26%
23%
Ligue 1
Brest
4-3-3Rating 1752
Form: WWLDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brest

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.5%4.7%3.0%<1%
If Win <1%8.6%6.8%1.8%<1%
If Draw <1%6.2%4.5%3.3%<1%
If Lose <1%3.6%3.8%4.1%<1%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%27.6%12.1%<1%<1%
If Win <1%34.5%14.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%23.8%13.0%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%20.9%10.5%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatBrest
10Games played10
2.2Avg goals scored1.8
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
60% / 0% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 30% / 30%
60% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatBrest
11All-time wins (19 meetings, 3 draws)5
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.9Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-02-20): Brest 2–0 Marseille