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Le Havre vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 44% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Le Havre
0-2-8Rating 1678
Form: LLLLL
vs
Model Probability
28%
Draw 27%
44%
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%28.8%12.8%<1%<1%
If Win <1%34.8%13.0%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%25.1%12.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%20.7%11.0%<1%<1%

Le Havre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%33.4%46.7%
If Win <1%<1%<1%35.7%40.1%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%33.5%48.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%30.1%54.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Le HavreStatMarseille
10Games played10
0.9Avg goals scored2.2
2.2Avg goals conceded1.4
0% / 20% / 80%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 0% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Le HavreStatMarseille
0All-time wins (7 meetings, 0 draws)7
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
1.1Average goals3.4
Last meeting (2026-10-25): Marseille 4–3 Le Havre