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Ligue 1
Sat, May 8, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Nice vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 37% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1695
Form: WLDLD
VS
1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
35%
37%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.5%3.4%11.0%3.9%
If Win <1%4.2%4.3%8.0%2.2%
If Draw <1%2.8%2.6%11.5%3.9%
If Lose <1%2.0%2.3%13.2%5.7%

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%26.3%15.8%
If Win <1%<1%<1%22.7%10.4%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.0%16.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.2%19.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NiceStatMarseille
5Games played5
0.6Avg goals scored1.4
1.2Avg goals conceded1.6
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 0% / 80%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NiceStatMarseille
10All-time wins (32 meetings, 6 draws)16
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-04-26): Marseille 1–1 Nice