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Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 51% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Jan 29, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-4Rating 1685
Form: LDDDW
vs
Model Probability
23%
Draw 26%
51%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
5-1-3Rating 1853
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.0%51.8%17.0%<1%<1%
If Win 1.2%58.5%15.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%49.2%16.8%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%40.5%17.2%<1%<1%

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%31.7%13.1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%23.4%8.1%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%31.5%11.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%34.1%14.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Union BerlinStatBayer Leverkusen
9Games played9
0.8Avg goals scored2.2
2.3Avg goals conceded1.9
11% / 44% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss56% / 11% / 33%
20% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Union BerlinStatBayer Leverkusen
2All-time wins (15 meetings, 5 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.6Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-09-05): Bayer Leverkusen 4–0 Union Berlin