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Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 77% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 12, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-4Rating 1685
Form: LDDDW
vs
Model Probability
9%
Draw 14%
77%
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
6-3-0Rating 2054
Form: WDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 84.4%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 87.5%100.0%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 82.7%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 76.6%99.6%<1%<1%<1%

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%31.5%13.5%
If Win <1%<1%1.1%22.0%6.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%28.4%11.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.1%13.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Union BerlinStatBayern Munich
9Games played9
0.8Avg goals scored3.2
2.3Avg goals conceded1.0
11% / 44% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 33% / 0%
20% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Union BerlinStatBayern Munich
0All-time wins (15 meetings, 5 draws)10
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
0.7Average goals2.8
Last meeting (2026-09-18): Bayern Munich 7–0 Union Berlin