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Dortmund vs Union Berlin Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 75% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 26, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD
vs
Model Probability
75%
Draw 15%
9%
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-4Rating 1685
Form: LDDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%31.3%12.6%
If Win <1%<1%1.0%24.0%6.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%28.6%12.1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%31.8%14.0%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 10.9%92.6%4.2%<1%<1%
If Win 12.4%93.5%3.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 9.1%91.3%4.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 6.8%86.5%7.1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatUnion Berlin
9Games played9
1.8Avg goals scored0.8
0.8Avg goals conceded2.3
67% / 33% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss11% / 44% / 44%
80% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatUnion Berlin
10All-time wins (15 meetings, 1 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.5Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-10-17): Union Berlin 0–0 Dortmund