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Werder Bremen vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 53% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 19, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
4-3-2Rating 1735
Form: LWWDD
vs
Model Probability
22%
Draw 25%
53%
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 11.5%91.7%4.8%<1%<1%
If Win 14.4%95.5%2.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 8.8%91.3%5.1%<1%<1%
If Lose 7.0%88.0%6.3%<1%<1%

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%7.7%8.1%2.3%<1%
If Win <1%11.9%10.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%7.3%8.4%1.9%<1%
If Lose <1%4.9%6.6%3.7%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Werder BremenStatDortmund
9Games played9
1.9Avg goals scored1.8
1.7Avg goals conceded0.8
44% / 33% / 22%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 33% / 0%
75% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Werder BremenStatDortmund
4All-time wins (32 meetings, 6 draws)22
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.1Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-10-09): Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen