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RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 58% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 26, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
6-0-3Rating 1838
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
19%
Draw 23%
58%
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
6-3-0Rating 2054
Form: WDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 87.1%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 89.5%100.0%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 83.4%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 77.8%99.8%<1%<1%<1%

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.0%54.5%15.8%<1%<1%
If Win 2.2%65.9%13.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.0%54.0%17.1%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%49.7%16.1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RB LeipzigStatBayern Munich
9Games played9
3.0Avg goals scored3.2
1.4Avg goals conceded1.0
67% / 0% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 33% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RB LeipzigStatBayern Munich
2All-time wins (21 meetings, 7 draws)12
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.2Average goals2.6
Last meeting (2026-10-17): Bayern Munich 6–1 RB Leipzig