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Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Stuttgart has a 41% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 5, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Stuttgart
4-0-5Rating 1827
Form: WWLLW
vs
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
32%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
5-1-3Rating 1853
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%50.4%18.0%<1%<1%
If Win 1.3%61.2%15.9%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%50.2%18.6%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%43.2%20.2%<1%<1%

Stuttgart

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%24.3%15.8%<1%<1%
If Win <1%30.6%15.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%23.0%15.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%18.2%13.9%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StuttgartStatBayer Leverkusen
9Games played9
1.7Avg goals scored2.2
1.7Avg goals conceded1.9
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss56% / 11% / 33%
50% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StuttgartStatBayer Leverkusen
5All-time wins (30 meetings, 8 draws)17
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.4Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-10-31): Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 Stuttgart