← Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / Union Berlin vs Freiburg

Union Berlin vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 47% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 12, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-4Rating 1685
Form: LDDDW
vs
Model Probability
26%
Draw 27%
47%
Bundesliga
Freiburg
6-1-2Rating 1824
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.0%52.4%17.0%<1%<1%
If Win 1.4%59.9%14.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%47.8%17.5%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%43.0%17.6%<1%<1%

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%31.0%12.1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%25.8%8.3%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%29.9%12.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.1%16.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Union BerlinStatFreiburg
9Games played9
0.8Avg goals scored2.2
2.3Avg goals conceded1.1
11% / 44% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 11% / 22%
20% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Union BerlinStatFreiburg
7All-time wins (15 meetings, 5 draws)3
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-11-08): Freiburg 2–0 Union Berlin