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RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin Prediction & Win Probability

RB Leipzig has a 66% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 19, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
6-0-3Rating 1838
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
66%
Draw 20%
14%
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-4Rating 1685
Form: LDDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%30.2%12.7%
If Win <1%<1%<1%23.8%6.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%29.8%11.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%31.9%13.9%

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%53.7%14.9%<1%<1%
If Win 1.2%58.2%15.2%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%47.2%15.7%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%43.5%15.9%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RB LeipzigStatUnion Berlin
9Games played9
3.0Avg goals scored0.8
1.4Avg goals conceded2.3
67% / 0% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss11% / 44% / 44%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RB LeipzigStatUnion Berlin
6All-time wins (14 meetings, 2 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-04-24): RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin