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RB Leipzig vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability

RB Leipzig has a 46% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 2, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
6-0-3Rating 1838
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
Bundesliga
Freiburg
6-1-2Rating 1824
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%52.7%15.6%<1%<1%
If Win 1.4%63.2%15.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.0%52.6%17.0%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%46.3%16.8%<1%<1%

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.2%54.5%16.0%<1%<1%
If Win 1.0%59.9%15.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.0%49.5%17.0%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%43.8%17.8%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RB LeipzigStatFreiburg
9Games played9
3.0Avg goals scored2.2
1.4Avg goals conceded1.1
67% / 0% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 11% / 22%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RB LeipzigStatFreiburg
12All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-16): Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig