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Mainz vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Win Probability

RB Leipzig has a 43% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 9, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL
vs
Model Probability
30%
Draw 28%
43%
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
6-0-3Rating 1838
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%54.1%15.0%<1%<1%
If Win 1.3%59.4%15.7%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%51.6%16.5%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%45.6%17.3%<1%<1%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.6%2.1%11.1%2.0%
If Win <1%2.4%3.0%7.6%1.0%
If Draw <1%1.4%1.8%11.4%1.7%
If Lose <1%<1%1.0%13.5%2.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatRB Leipzig
9Games played9
2.0Avg goals scored3.0
2.1Avg goals conceded1.4
33% / 11% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 0% / 33%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatRB Leipzig
7All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-01-31): RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz