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Augsburg vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 54% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 16, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Augsburg
2-3-4Rating 1732
Form: LLDLD
vs
Model Probability
21%
Draw 25%
54%
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 11.4%91.1%4.8%<1%<1%
If Win 15.1%93.8%4.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 9.5%91.3%4.8%<1%<1%
If Lose 7.4%89.3%5.7%<1%<1%

Augsburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.5%2.1%11.2%2.0%
If Win <1%2.1%3.3%7.2%<1%
If Draw <1%1.2%2.0%10.8%2.4%
If Lose <1%<1%1.6%13.2%2.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AugsburgStatDortmund
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored1.8
2.2Avg goals conceded0.8
22% / 33% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 33% / 0%
20% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AugsburgStatDortmund
5All-time wins (30 meetings, 7 draws)18
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.2Average goals2.4
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Dortmund 2–0 Augsburg