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Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 56% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 23, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD
vs
Model Probability
56%
Draw 24%
20%
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
6-0-3Rating 1838
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.1%53.6%15.8%<1%<1%
If Win 1.9%63.3%14.1%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%55.0%15.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%48.5%18.0%<1%<1%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 10.8%92.2%4.0%<1%<1%
If Win 13.3%94.6%2.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 8.7%90.1%5.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 8.1%88.5%6.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatRB Leipzig
9Games played9
1.8Avg goals scored3.0
0.8Avg goals conceded1.4
67% / 33% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 0% / 33%
80% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatRB Leipzig
8All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-02-21): RB Leipzig 2–2 Dortmund