Mainz vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability
Dortmund has a 54% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 7, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Model Prediction Through Season
Dortmund
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 11.1% | 91.7% | 4.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 14.4% | 94.5% | 3.2% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 10.3% | 90.8% | 4.9% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 7.3% | 90.4% | 5.3% | <1% | <1% |
Mainz
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 11.4% | 2.0% |
| If Win | <1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 6.9% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 11.9% | 1.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 1.6% | 12.9% | 2.3% |
| Mainz | Stat | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games played | 9 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals scored | 1.8 |
| 2.1 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 33% / 11% / 56% | Win / Draw / Loss | 67% / 33% / 0% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Mainz | Stat | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 5 draws) | 22 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.9 |
Recent Results
Mainz
vs Bayern Munich
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ Elversberg
Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1–4
vs Werder Bremen
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2–3
@ Schalke
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3–4
Dortmund
vs Elversberg
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
@ Bayern Munich
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Union Berlin
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
vs Werder Bremen
Fri, Oct 9, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2