← Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / Hoffenheim vs Mainz

Hoffenheim vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Hoffenheim has a 49% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 14, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
4-0-5Rating 1764
Form: WLWWL
vs
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
25%
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.7%2.4%12.0%2.3%
If Win <1%2.4%2.9%7.7%<1%
If Draw <1%1.7%1.8%11.2%2.1%
If Lose <1%<1%1.3%13.6%2.4%

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.1%5.8%3.6%<1%
If Win <1%6.0%6.7%2.7%<1%
If Draw <1%4.0%4.5%4.7%<1%
If Lose <1%3.1%3.8%5.7%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

HoffenheimStatMainz
9Games played9
1.8Avg goals scored2.0
1.9Avg goals conceded2.1
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 11% / 56%
60% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
HoffenheimStatMainz
9All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)15
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.5Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-04-04): Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz