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Mainz vs Stuttgart Prediction & Win Probability

Stuttgart has a 41% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sat, May 22, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL
vs
Model Probability
31%
Draw 28%
41%
Bundesliga
Stuttgart
4-0-5Rating 1827
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stuttgart

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%24.9%15.4%<1%<1%
If Win <1%27.0%17.2%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%22.3%16.1%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%18.4%14.3%<1%<1%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.7%2.2%11.8%2.0%
If Win <1%2.4%2.5%8.7%1.1%
If Draw <1%1.0%2.0%12.4%2.1%
If Lose <1%<1%1.4%14.9%2.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatStuttgart
9Games played9
2.0Avg goals scored1.7
2.1Avg goals conceded1.7
33% / 11% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 0% / 56%
0% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatStuttgart
10All-time wins (29 meetings, 8 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-03-07): Mainz 2–2 Stuttgart