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FC Koln vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

FC Koln has a 38% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 23, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
FC Koln
2-3-4Rating 1686
Form: LDDLW
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.5%2.1%11.4%3.0%
If Win <1%2.1%2.9%6.7%<1%
If Draw <1%1.2%1.8%11.1%2.0%
If Lose <1%<1%1.5%14.6%3.0%

FC Koln

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%28.9%8.0%
If Win <1%<1%<1%24.1%4.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%29.4%9.1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%33.1%11.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FC KolnStatMainz
9Games played9
1.1Avg goals scored2.0
1.6Avg goals conceded2.1
22% / 33% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 11% / 56%
40% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FC KolnStatMainz
7All-time wins (25 meetings, 10 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.0Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-17): FC Koln 2–1 Mainz