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Dortmund vs FC Koln Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 75% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 14, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD
vs
Model Probability
75%
Draw 15%
9%
Bundesliga
FC Koln
2-3-4Rating 1686
Form: LDDLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

FC Koln

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%29.4%8.1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%20.9%4.1%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%27.6%7.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%30.4%8.6%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 11.8%92.6%4.3%<1%<1%
If Win 12.6%93.6%3.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 8.8%89.9%5.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 6.8%88.2%5.7%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatFC Koln
9Games played9
1.8Avg goals scored1.1
0.8Avg goals conceded1.6
67% / 33% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss22% / 33% / 44%
80% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatFC Koln
15All-time wins (25 meetings, 6 draws)4
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
2.4Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-03-07): FC Koln 1–2 Dortmund