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Bundesliga
Sat, May 22, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST

Freiburg vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 40% chance to win.

3-1-0 · Rating 1824
Form: DWWWW
VS
4-0-0 · Rating 1916
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
32%
40%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 17.1%92.0%3.5%<1%<1%
If Win 19.0%93.7%3.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 13.7%90.7%3.8%<1%<1%
If Lose 12.4%88.2%5.2%<1%<1%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.4%48.7%13.3%<1%<1%
If Win 2.3%55.1%13.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.6%49.2%13.0%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%43.5%13.3%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatDortmund
4Games played4
3.0Avg goals scored2.2
0.8Avg goals conceded0.5
75% / 25% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatDortmund
3All-time wins (31 meetings, 4 draws)24
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.7Average goals2.9
Last meeting (2026-04-26): Dortmund 4–0 Freiburg