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Freiburg vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 41% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sat, May 22, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Freiburg
6-1-2Rating 1824
Form: WWLLW
vs
Model Probability
32%
Draw 28%
41%
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 11.8%92.3%3.8%<1%<1%
If Win 14.0%95.3%2.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 9.1%92.4%4.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 9.0%90.2%5.4%<1%<1%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%51.6%17.0%<1%<1%
If Win 1.1%61.8%14.4%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%51.1%16.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%47.3%15.3%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatDortmund
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored1.8
1.1Avg goals conceded0.8
67% / 11% / 22%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 33% / 0%
80% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatDortmund
3All-time wins (31 meetings, 4 draws)24
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.7Average goals2.9
Last meeting (2026-04-26): Dortmund 4–0 Freiburg