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Hamburger SV vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 47% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 14, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
27%
Draw 27%
47%
Bundesliga
Freiburg
6-1-2Rating 1824
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%51.8%16.0%<1%<1%
If Win <1%57.1%16.3%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%49.6%16.2%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%42.8%16.8%<1%<1%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.2%1.2%15.1%3.2%
If Win <1%1.0%1.8%10.7%1.5%
If Draw <1%<1%1.3%16.0%2.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%17.5%3.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatFreiburg
9Games played9
1.1Avg goals scored2.2
2.2Avg goals conceded1.1
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 11% / 22%
75% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatFreiburg
5All-time wins (17 meetings, 6 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-05-10): Hamburger SV 3–2 Freiburg