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Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 67% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 7, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
5-1-3Rating 1853
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
67%
Draw 19%
13%
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.0%1.7%16.0%3.5%
If Win <1%1.9%2.5%9.9%1.3%
If Draw <1%1.0%1.4%13.8%2.9%
If Lose <1%<1%1.1%17.5%3.6%

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%50.9%18.7%<1%<1%
If Win 1.1%57.2%16.2%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%46.2%18.1%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%43.1%17.1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayer LeverkusenStatHamburger SV
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored1.1
1.9Avg goals conceded2.2
56% / 11% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 0% / 56%
75% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayer LeverkusenStatHamburger SV
11All-time wins (19 meetings, 5 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.9Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-05-16): Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Hamburger SV