← Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 56% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 14, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
5-1-3Rating 1853
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
20%
Draw 24%
56%
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
6-3-0Rating 2054
Form: WDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 85.7%100.0%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 88.5%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 84.6%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 80.0%99.8%<1%<1%<1%

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%51.6%17.9%<1%<1%
If Win 1.5%60.4%16.2%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%52.0%18.0%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%48.3%18.3%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayer LeverkusenStatBayern Munich
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored3.2
1.9Avg goals conceded1.0
56% / 11% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 33% / 0%
75% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayer LeverkusenStatBayern Munich
7All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)16
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Bayern Munich