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Dortmund vs Schalke Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 82% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 9, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD
vs
Model Probability
82%
Draw 11%
6%
Bundesliga
Schalke
1-3-5Rating 1609
Form: LLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Schalke

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%34.9%44.4%
If Win <1%<1%<1%35.4%30.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%35.2%40.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%35.3%44.8%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 11.4%92.3%4.2%<1%<1%
If Win 12.8%93.3%4.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 8.1%88.8%6.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 5.7%86.0%7.0%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatSchalke
9Games played9
1.8Avg goals scored0.6
0.8Avg goals conceded1.2
67% / 33% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss11% / 33% / 56%
80% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatSchalke
11All-time wins (25 meetings, 8 draws)6
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.8Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2023-03-11): Schalke 2–2 Dortmund