← Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / Bayer Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 37% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 2, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
5-1-3Rating 1853
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
35%
Draw 28%
37%
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 11.3%92.8%3.9%<1%<1%
If Win 15.5%96.1%2.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 10.1%92.5%4.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 8.2%90.1%5.5%<1%<1%

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.0%50.9%18.4%<1%<1%
If Win 1.3%59.9%16.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%50.5%18.5%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%45.3%19.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayer LeverkusenStatDortmund
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored1.8
1.9Avg goals conceded0.8
56% / 11% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 33% / 0%
75% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayer LeverkusenStatDortmund
9All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)18
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.3Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen