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Stuttgart vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability

Stuttgart has a 45% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 23, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Stuttgart
4-0-5Rating 1827
Form: WWLLW
vs
Model Probability
45%
Draw 27%
28%
Bundesliga
Freiburg
6-1-2Rating 1824
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%52.4%15.7%<1%<1%
If Win 1.5%60.6%16.0%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%52.4%17.1%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%45.8%16.8%<1%<1%

Stuttgart

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%25.1%15.0%<1%<1%
If Win <1%29.5%17.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%20.9%15.2%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%17.1%12.7%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StuttgartStatFreiburg
9Games played9
1.7Avg goals scored2.2
1.7Avg goals conceded1.1
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 11% / 22%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StuttgartStatFreiburg
13All-time wins (27 meetings, 3 draws)11
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.9Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-02-01): Stuttgart 1–0 Freiburg