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Real Madrid vs Alaves Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 75% chance to win.
La Liga
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Real Madrid
10-0-2Rating 2059
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
75%
Draw 16%
10%
La Liga
Alaves
3-4-5Rating 1832
Form: DLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%5.6%6.3%8.3%
If Win <1%11.6%10.6%3.8%
If Draw <1%6.7%7.8%6.6%
If Lose <1%4.7%5.8%9.7%

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 27.0%100.0%<1%<1%
If Win 29.5%99.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 21.0%99.8%<1%<1%
If Lose 16.6%99.9%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatAlaves
12Games played12
2.6Avg goals scored1.2
0.8Avg goals conceded1.4
83% / 0% / 17%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 33% / 42%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real MadridStatAlaves
16All-time wins (18 meetings, 0 draws)2
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
2.6Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2026-04-21): Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves