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Atl. Madrid vs Valencia Prediction & Win Probability

Atl. Madrid has a 66% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Dec 13, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Atl. Madrid
9-1-2Rating 1960
Form: LWWWW
vs
Model Probability
66%
Draw 20%
14%
La Liga
Valencia
2-3-7Rating 1808
Form: LWLDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Valencia

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.3%2.4%23.5%
If Win <1%3.3%4.1%14.3%
If Draw <1%1.6%2.2%20.1%
If Lose <1%1.1%1.4%27.5%

Atl. Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.3%97.3%1.5%<1%
If Win 3.2%97.9%1.3%<1%
If Draw 1.6%96.8%1.7%<1%
If Lose 1.1%94.2%2.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Atl. MadridStatValencia
12Games played12
1.9Avg goals scored0.7
0.8Avg goals conceded1.7
75% / 8% / 17%Win / Draw / Loss17% / 25% / 58%
67% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Atl. MadridStatValencia
19All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)5
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.7Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-05-02): Valencia 0–2 Atl. Madrid