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Celta Vigo vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Atl. Madrid has a 50% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Dec 20, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Celta Vigo
2-7-3Rating 1802
Form: DLDWD
vs
Model Probability
24%
Draw 26%
50%
La Liga
Atl. Madrid
9-1-2Rating 1960
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Atl. Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.3%97.4%1.4%<1%
If Win 2.7%98.5%1.1%<1%
If Draw 2.0%96.9%1.4%<1%
If Lose <1%95.5%2.8%<1%

Celta Vigo

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.9%2.8%17.6%
If Win <1%3.8%4.2%10.4%
If Draw <1%1.8%3.0%16.5%
If Lose <1%1.0%1.5%20.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Celta VigoStatAtl. Madrid
12Games played12
0.8Avg goals scored1.9
0.8Avg goals conceded0.8
17% / 58% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 8% / 17%
29% Home win % / Away win % 83%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Celta VigoStatAtl. Madrid
3All-time wins (28 meetings, 6 draws)19
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.6Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Atl. Madrid 0–1 Celta Vigo