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Rayo Vallecano vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Atl. Madrid has a 48% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Jan 3, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
3-4-5Rating 1816
Form: LWLDD
vs
Model Probability
26%
Draw 27%
48%
La Liga
Atl. Madrid
9-1-2Rating 1960
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Atl. Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.2%96.9%1.8%<1%
If Win 3.0%98.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.2%97.2%1.6%<1%
If Lose 1.2%95.0%2.9%<1%

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%4.9%5.5%10.4%
If Win <1%8.0%7.4%5.2%
If Draw <1%4.6%5.2%10.6%
If Lose <1%3.1%3.8%14.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Rayo VallecanoStatAtl. Madrid
12Games played12
1.2Avg goals scored1.9
1.8Avg goals conceded0.8
25% / 33% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 8% / 17%
50% Home win % / Away win % 83%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Rayo VallecanoStatAtl. Madrid
2All-time wins (22 meetings, 3 draws)17
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.8Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-02-15): Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atl. Madrid