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Sun, Jan 3, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Rayo Vallecano vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Atl. Madrid has a 44% chance to win.

2-2-3 · Rating 1834
Form: DWLWL
VS
5-1-1 · Rating 1949
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
29%
44%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Atl. Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 4.0%85.5%5.3%<1%
If Win 5.8%90.4%4.3%<1%
If Draw 3.4%84.4%4.9%<1%
If Lose 2.0%79.3%6.6%<1%

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%12.8%6.8%9.0%
If Win <1%18.7%7.3%5.2%
If Draw <1%11.3%6.7%8.5%
If Lose <1%8.9%6.0%10.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Rayo VallecanoStatAtl. Madrid
7Games played7
1.6Avg goals scored2.3
2.3Avg goals conceded1.0
29% / 29% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss71% / 14% / 14%
67% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Rayo VallecanoStatAtl. Madrid
2All-time wins (22 meetings, 3 draws)17
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.8Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-02-15): Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atl. Madrid