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Alaves vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Win Probability

Alaves has a 41% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Jan 10, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Alaves
3-4-5Rating 1832
Form: DLDLL
vs
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
31%
La Liga
Real Sociedad
7-1-4Rating 1855
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%43.6%15.4%<1%
If Win <1%53.2%17.3%<1%
If Draw <1%42.2%16.0%<1%
If Lose <1%33.5%16.1%<1%

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%5.8%6.2%8.4%
If Win <1%9.2%8.8%5.0%
If Draw <1%4.7%6.7%8.7%
If Lose <1%2.2%4.1%13.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatReal Sociedad
12Games played12
1.2Avg goals scored1.8
1.4Avg goals conceded1.7
25% / 33% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss58% / 8% / 33%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatReal Sociedad
6All-time wins (18 meetings, 4 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
0.8Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Real Sociedad 3–3 Alaves