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Sun, Jan 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Atl. Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Win Probability

Atl. Madrid has a 61% chance to win.

5-1-1 · Rating 1949
Form: WWWLW
VS
3-1-3 · Rating 1832
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
61%
17%
Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.5%8.6%6.3%
If Win <1%24.8%10.7%2.8%
If Draw <1%18.1%8.9%5.0%
If Lose <1%13.6%7.3%6.7%

Atl. Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 4.4%85.7%5.0%<1%
If Win 4.7%89.4%4.2%<1%
If Draw 3.4%83.8%5.5%<1%
If Lose 1.9%78.1%7.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Atl. MadridStatReal Sociedad
7Games played7
2.3Avg goals scored1.3
1.0Avg goals conceded1.9
71% / 14% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 14% / 43%
75% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Atl. MadridStatReal Sociedad
22All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)5
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.9Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-09-13): Real Sociedad 0–3 Atl. Madrid