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Atl. Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Win Probability

Atl. Madrid has a 59% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Jan 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Atl. Madrid
9-1-2Rating 1960
Form: LWWWW
vs
Model Probability
59%
Draw 23%
18%
La Liga
Real Sociedad
7-1-4Rating 1855
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%43.6%16.6%<1%
If Win <1%56.7%15.6%<1%
If Draw <1%45.6%16.1%<1%
If Lose <1%39.3%16.2%<1%

Atl. Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 1.8%97.2%1.8%<1%
If Win 2.9%98.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.1%96.9%1.9%<1%
If Lose <1%93.8%3.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Atl. MadridStatReal Sociedad
12Games played12
1.9Avg goals scored1.8
0.8Avg goals conceded1.7
75% / 8% / 17%Win / Draw / Loss58% / 8% / 33%
67% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Atl. MadridStatReal Sociedad
22All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)5
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.9Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-09-13): Real Sociedad 0–3 Atl. Madrid