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Sun, Feb 7, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 53% chance to win.

3-1-3 · Rating 1832
Form: WLWDW
VS
5-0-2 · Rating 2014
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
22%
53%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 13.6%95.7%1.6%<1%
If Win 15.0%97.7%1.2%<1%
If Draw 11.4%95.6%1.8%<1%
If Lose 9.8%94.4%2.5%<1%

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.5%8.3%6.1%
If Win <1%23.2%11.7%3.6%
If Draw <1%16.9%9.2%5.5%
If Lose <1%12.1%7.4%7.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real SociedadStatReal Madrid
7Games played7
1.3Avg goals scored2.6
1.9Avg goals conceded1.1
43% / 14% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss71% / 0% / 29%
33% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real SociedadStatReal Madrid
4All-time wins (33 meetings, 4 draws)25
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
1.0Average goals2.5
Last meeting (2026-08-26): Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad