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Osasuna vs Alaves Prediction & Win Probability

Osasuna has a 40% chance to win.
La Liga
Wed, Apr 21, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
La Liga
Osasuna
3-3-6Rating 1799
Form: DLLWL
vs
Model Probability
40%
Draw 28%
32%
La Liga
Alaves
3-4-5Rating 1832
Form: DLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%5.5%6.4%7.8%
If Win <1%8.3%8.8%4.7%
If Draw <1%5.1%5.7%8.4%
If Lose <1%3.5%4.8%10.8%

Osasuna

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%2.2%2.8%21.1%
If Win <1%2.4%3.4%15.0%
If Draw <1%1.2%1.5%23.2%
If Lose <1%<1%1.5%26.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

OsasunaStatAlaves
12Games played12
1.0Avg goals scored1.2
1.9Avg goals conceded1.4
25% / 25% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 33% / 42%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
OsasunaStatAlaves
9All-time wins (15 meetings, 4 draws)2
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.6Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-09-06): Alaves 5–2 Osasuna