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Sun, Apr 18, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Win Probability

Alaves has a 47% chance to win.

3-2-2 · Rating 1854
Form: DLLWW
VS
2-2-3 · Rating 1834
Form: DWLWL
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%12.5%7.4%9.6%
If Win <1%16.9%8.8%6.0%
If Draw <1%12.1%7.1%9.2%
If Lose <1%9.8%6.1%10.7%

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%23.9%10.3%3.5%
If Win <1%27.7%10.9%2.7%
If Draw <1%21.5%9.8%4.2%
If Lose <1%17.3%8.9%4.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatRayo Vallecano
7Games played7
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
0.9Avg goals conceded2.3
43% / 29% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 29% / 43%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatRayo Vallecano
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 1 draws)7
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.8Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-08-20): Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves