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Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Win Probability

Alaves has a 47% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Apr 18, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
La Liga
Alaves
3-4-5Rating 1832
Form: DLDLL
vs
Model Probability
47%
Draw 27%
27%
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
3-4-5Rating 1816
Form: LWLDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%4.3%4.7%10.2%
If Win <1%7.1%6.0%6.1%
If Draw <1%3.9%5.0%10.9%
If Lose <1%3.3%4.2%13.7%

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.3%6.6%7.9%
If Win <1%8.4%7.7%6.1%
If Draw <1%5.0%5.2%9.2%
If Lose <1%3.7%3.9%11.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatRayo Vallecano
12Games played12
1.2Avg goals scored1.2
1.4Avg goals conceded1.8
25% / 33% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 33% / 42%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatRayo Vallecano
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 1 draws)7
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.8Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-08-20): Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves