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Sun, May 23, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Atl. Madrid vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Win Probability

Atl. Madrid has a 62% chance to win.

5-1-1 · Rating 1949
Form: WWWLW
VS
2-2-2 · Rating 1821
Form: DDWWL
Model Probability
62%
16%
Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Ath Bilbao

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%11.3%7.1%9.8%
If Win <1%16.3%8.5%6.1%
If Draw <1%11.9%6.3%8.9%
If Lose <1%9.7%6.5%10.5%

Atl. Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 4.1%84.7%5.6%<1%
If Win 5.3%87.6%4.4%<1%
If Draw 3.4%84.0%5.5%<1%
If Lose 2.7%81.3%6.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Atl. MadridStatAth Bilbao
7Games played6
2.3Avg goals scored1.2
1.0Avg goals conceded1.0
71% / 14% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 33% / 33%
75% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Atl. MadridStatAth Bilbao
21All-time wins (34 meetings, 4 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-09-05): Ath Bilbao 3–0 Atl. Madrid